Last data update: Apr 22, 2024. (Total: 46599 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 85 Records) |
Query Trace: Vaughan G[original query] |
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Telemedicine-based risk program to prevent falls among older adults: Study protocol for a randomized quality improvement trial
Rein DB , Hackney ME , Haddad YK , Sublett FA , Moreland B , Imhof L , Peterson C , Legha JK , Mark J , Vaughan CP , Johnson Ii TM , Bergen G . JMIR Res Protoc 2024 13 e54395 BACKGROUND: The Center for Disease Control and Prevention's Stopping Elderly Accidents, Deaths, and Injuries (STEADI) initiative offers health care providers tools and resources to assist with fall risk screening and multifactorial fall risk assessment and interventions. Its effectiveness has never been evaluated in a randomized trial. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to describe the protocol for the STEADI Options Randomized Quality Improvement Trial (RQIT), which was designed to evaluate the impact on falls and all-cause health expenditures of a telemedicine-based form of STEADI implemented among older adults aged 65 years and older, within a primary care setting. METHODS: STEADI Options was a pragmatic RQIT implemented within a health system comparing a telemedicine version of the STEADI fall risk assessment to the standard of care (SOC). Before screening, we randomized all eligible patients in participating clinics into the STEADI arm or SOC arm based on their scheduled provider. All received the Stay Independent screener (SIS) to determine fall risk. Patients were considered at risk for falls if they scored 4 or more on the SIS or answered affirmatively to any 1 of the 3 key questions within the SIS. Patients screened at risk for falls and randomized to the STEADI arm were offered a registered nurse (RN)-led STEADI assessment through telemedicine; the RN provided assessment results and recommendations to the providers, who were advised to discuss fall-prevention strategies with their patients. Patients screened at risk for falls and randomized to the SOC arm were asked to participate in study data collection only. Data on recruitment, STEADI assessments, use of recommended prevention services, medications, and fall occurrences were collected using electronic health records and patient surveys. Using staff time diaries and administrative records, the study prospectively collected data on STEADI implementation costs and all-cause outpatient and inpatient charges incurred over the year following enrollment. RESULTS: The study enrolled 720 patients (n=307, 42.6% STEADI arm; n=353, 49% SOC arm; and n=60, 8.3% discontinued arm) from September 2020 to December 2021. Follow-up data collection was completed in January 2023. As of February 2024, data analysis is complete, and results are expected to be published by the end of 2025. CONCLUSIONS: The STEADI RQIT evaluates the impact of a telemedicine-based, STEADI-based fall risk assessment on falls and all-cause health expenditures and can provide information on the intervention's effectiveness and cost-effectiveness. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05390736, http://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT05390736. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): RR1-10.2196/54395. |
Hypertension in pregnancy: Current challenges and future opportunities for surveillance and research
Kuklina EV , Merritt RK , Wright JS , Vaughan AS , Coronado F . J Womens Health (Larchmt) 2024 Hypertension in pregnancy (HP) includes eclampsia/preeclampsia, chronic hypertension, superimposed preeclampsia, and gestational hypertension. In the United States, HP prevalence doubled over the last three decades, based on birth certificate data. In 2019, the estimated percent of births with a history of HP varied from 10.1% to 15.9% for birth certificate data and hospital discharge records, respectively. The use of electronic medical records may result in identifying an additional third to half of undiagnosed cases of HP. Individuals with gestational hypertension or preeclampsia are at 3.5 times higher risk of progressing to chronic hypertension and from 1.7 to 2.8 times higher risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD) after childbirth compared with individuals without these conditions. Interventions to identify and address CVD risk factors among individuals with HP are most effective if started during the first 6 weeks postpartum and implemented during the first year after childbirth. Providing access to affordable health care during the first 12 months after delivery may ensure healthy longevity for individuals with HP. Average attendance rates for postpartum visits in the United States are 72.1%, but the rates vary significantly (from 24.9% to 96.5%). Moreover, even among individuals with CVD risk factors who attend postpartum visits, approximately 40% do not receive counseling on a healthy lifestyle. In the United States, as of the end of September 2023, 38 states and the District of Columbia have extended Medicaid coverage eligibility, eight states plan to implement it, and two states proposed a limited coverage extension from 2 to 12 months after childbirth. Currently, data gaps exist in national health surveillance and health systems to identify and monitor HP. Using multiple data sources, incorporating electronic medical record data algorithms, and standardizing data definitions can improve surveillance, provide opportunities to better track progress, and may help in developing targeted policy recommendations. |
Correction: A mixed-methods approach for evaluating implementation processes and program costs for a hypertension management program implemented in a federally qualified health center
Tucker-Brown A , Spafford M , Wittenborn J , Rein D , Marshall A , Beasley KL , Vaughan M , Nelson N , Dougherty M , Ahn R . Prev Sci 2024 |
Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in preventing SARS-cov-2 infection in children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years
Feldstein LR , Britton A , Grant L , Wiegand R , Ruffin J , Babu TM , Briggs Hagen M , Burgess JL , Caban-Martinez AJ , Chu HY , Ellingson KD , Englund JA , Hegmann KT , Jeddy Z , Lauring AS , Lutrick K , Martin ET , Mathenge C , Meece J , Midgley CM , Monto AS , Newes-Adeyi G , Odame-Bamfo L , Olsho LEW , Phillips AL , Rai RP , Saydah S , Smith N , Steinhardt L , Tyner H , Vandermeer M , Vaughan M , Yoon SK , Gaglani M , Naleway AL . Jama 2024 331 (5) 408-416 IMPORTANCE: Bivalent mRNA COVID-19 vaccines were recommended in the US for children and adolescents aged 12 years or older on September 1, 2022, and for children aged 5 to 11 years on October 12, 2022; however, data demonstrating the effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines are limited. OBJECTIVE: To assess the effectiveness of bivalent COVID-19 vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among children and adolescents. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Data for the period September 4, 2022, to January 31, 2023, were combined from 3 prospective US cohort studies (6 sites total) and used to estimate COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness among children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. A total of 2959 participants completed periodic surveys (demographics, household characteristics, chronic medical conditions, and COVID-19 symptoms) and submitted weekly self-collected nasal swabs (irrespective of symptoms); participants submitted additional nasal swabs at the onset of any symptoms. EXPOSURE: Vaccination status was captured from the periodic surveys and supplemented with data from state immunization information systems and electronic medical records. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES: Respiratory swabs were tested for the presence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus using reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction. SARS-CoV-2 infection was defined as a positive test regardless of symptoms. Symptomatic COVID-19 was defined as a positive test and 2 or more COVID-19 symptoms within 7 days of specimen collection. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios for SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19 among participants who received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose vs participants who received no vaccine or monovalent vaccine doses only. Models were adjusted for age, sex, race, ethnicity, underlying health conditions, prior SARS-CoV-2 infection status, geographic site, proportion of circulating variants by site, and local virus prevalence. RESULTS: Of the 2959 participants (47.8% were female; median age, 10.6 years [IQR, 8.0-13.2 years]; 64.6% were non-Hispanic White) included in this analysis, 25.4% received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose. During the study period, 426 participants (14.4%) had laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among these 426 participants, 184 (43.2%) had symptomatic COVID-19, 383 (89.9%) were not vaccinated or had received only monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses (1.38 SARS-CoV-2 infections per 1000 person-days), and 43 (10.1%) had received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose (0.84 SARS-CoV-2 infections per 1000 person-days). Bivalent vaccine effectiveness against SARS-CoV-2 infection was 54.0% (95% CI, 36.6%-69.1%) and vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic COVID-19 was 49.4% (95% CI, 22.2%-70.7%). The median observation time after vaccination was 276 days (IQR, 142-350 days) for participants who received only monovalent COVID-19 vaccine doses vs 50 days (IQR, 27-74 days) for those who received a bivalent COVID-19 vaccine dose. CONCLUSION AND RELEVANCE: The bivalent COVID-19 vaccines protected children and adolescents against SARS-CoV-2 infection and symptomatic COVID-19. These data demonstrate the benefit of COVID-19 vaccine in children and adolescents. All eligible children and adolescents should remain up to date with recommended COVID-19 vaccinations. |
Longitudinal parental perception of COVID-19 vaccines for children in a multi-site, cohort study
Rivers P , Porter C , LeClair LB , Jeddy Z , Fowlkes AL , Lamberte JM , Herder K , Smith M , Rai R , Grant L , Hegmann KT , Jovel K , Vaughan M , Mathenge C , Phillips AL , Khan S , Britton A , Pilishvili T , Burgess JL , Newes-Adeyi G , Gaglani M , Caban-Martinez A , Yoon S , Lutrick K . Vaccine 2024 OBJECTIVES: Pediatric COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy and uptake is not well understood. Among parents of a prospective cohort of children aged 6 months-17 years, we assessed COVID-19 vaccine knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP), and uptake over 15 months. METHODS: The PROTECT study collected sociodemographic characteristics of children at enrollment and COVID-19 vaccination data and parental KAPs quarterly. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to test the effect of KAPs on vaccine uptake; McNemar's test for paired samples was used to evaluate KAP change over time. RESULTS: A total of 2,837 children were enrolled, with more than half (61 %) vaccinated by October 2022. Positive parental beliefs about vaccine safety and effectiveness strongly predicted vaccine uptake among children aged 5-11 years (aOR 13.1, 95 % CI 8.5-20.4 and aOR 6.4, 95 % CI 4.3-9.6, respectively) and children aged 12+ years (aOR 7.0, 95 % CI 3.8-13.0 and aOR 8.9, 95 % CI 4.4-18.0). Compared to enrollment, at follow-up parents (of vaccinated and unvaccinated children) reported higher self-assessed vaccine knowledge, but more negative beliefs towards vaccine safety, effectiveness, and trust in government. Parents unlikely to vaccinate their children at enrollment reported more positive beliefs on vaccine knowledge, safety, and effectiveness at follow-up. CONCLUSION: The PROTECT cohort allows for an examination of factors driving vaccine uptake and how beliefs about COVID-19 and the COVID-19 vaccines change over time. Findings of the current analysis suggest that these beliefs change over time and policies aiming to increase vaccine uptake should focus on vaccine safety and effectiveness. |
Coordinated evolution among hepatitis C virus genomic sites is coupled to host factors and resistance to interferon.
Lara J , Tavis JE , Donlin MJ , Lee WM , Yuan HJ , Pearlman BL , Vaughan G , Forbi JC , Xia GL , Khudyakov YE . In Silico Biol 2011 11 213-24 Machine-learning methods in the form of Bayesian networks (BN), linear projection (LP) and self-organizing tree (SOT) models were used to explore association among polymorphic sites within the HVR1 and NS5a regions of the HCV genome, host demographic factors (ethnicity, gender and age) and response to the combined interferon (IFN) and ribavirin (RBV) therapy. The BN models predicted therapy outcomes, gender and ethnicity with accuracy of 90%, 90% and 88.9%, respectively. The LP and SOT models strongly confirmed associations of the HVR1 and NS5A structures with response to therapy and demographic host factors identified by BN. The data indicate host specificity of HCV evolution and suggest the application of these models to predict outcomes of IFN/RBV therapy. |
Evaluation of viral heterogeneity using next-generation sequencing, end-point limiting-dilution and mass spectrometry.
Dimitrova Z , Campo DS , Ramachandran S , Vaughan G , Ganova-Raeva L , Lin Y , Forbi JC , Xia G , Skums P , Pearlman B , Khudyakov Y . In Silico Biol 2011 11 183-92 Hepatitis C Virus sequence studies mainly focus on the viral amplicon containing the Hypervariable region 1 (HVR1) to obtain a sample of sequences from which several population genetics parameters can be calculated. Recent advances in sequencing methods allow for analyzing an unprecedented number of viral variants from infected patients and present a novel opportunity for understanding viral evolution, drug resistance and immune escape. In the present paper, we compared three recent technologies for amplicon analysis: (i) Next-Generation Sequencing; (ii) Clonal sequencing using End-point Limiting-dilution for isolation of individual sequence variants followed by Real-Time PCR and sequencing; and (iii) Mass spectrometry of base-specific cleavage reactions of a target sequence. These three technologies were used to assess intra-host diversity and inter-host genetic relatedness in HVR1 amplicons obtained from 38 patients (subgenotypes 1a and 1b). Assessments of intra-host diversity varied greatly between sequence-based and mass-spectrometry-based data. However, assessments of inter-host variability by all three technologies were equally accurate in identification of genetic relatedness among viral strains. These results support the application of all three technologies for molecular epidemiology and population genetics studies. Mass spectrometry is especially promising given its high throughput, low cost and comparable results with sequence-based methods. |
A national approach to promoting health equity in cardiovascular disease prevention: Implementation science strengths, opportunities, and a changing chronic disease context
Fulmer EB , Rasool A , Jackson SL , Vaughan M , Luo F . Prev Sci 2024 In the USA, structural racism contributes to higher rates of cardiovascular disease (CVD) including hypertension, heart disease, and stroke among African American persons. Evidence-based interventions (EBIs), which include programs, policies, and practices, can help mitigate health inequities, but have historically been underutilized or misapplied among communities experiencing discrimination and exclusion. This commentary on the special issue of Prevention Science, "Advancing the Adaptability of Chronic Disease Prevention and Management Through Implementation Science," describes the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Division for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention's (DHDSP's) efforts to support implementation practice and highlights several studies in the issue that align with DHDSP's methods and mission. This work includes EBI identification, scale, and spread as well as health services and policy research. We conclude that implementation practice to enhance CVD health equity will require greater coordination with diverse implementation science partners as well as continued innovation and capacity building to ensure meaningful community engagement throughout EBI development, translation, dissemination, and implementation. |
Cardiovascular disease mortality disparities in Black and White Adults, 2010‒2022
Woodruff RC , Tong X , Wadhera RK , Loustalot F , Jackson SL , Vaughan AS . Am J Prev Med 2023 Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality increased among adults in the United States early in the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic.1, 2, 3, 4 Black adults experienced disproportionate increases in CVD mortality rates and excess CVD deaths relative to White adults in 2020 and 2021.1, 2, 3,5 However, limited data are available about whether the magnitude of disparities in CVD mortality has persisted, narrowed, or widened, nearly 3 years into the COVID-19 pandemic. The objective of this analysis was to calculate CVD mortality rate ratios among non-Hispanic Black adults relative to non-Hispanic White adults in the decade preceding the COVID-19 pandemic through 2022. |
US county-level variation in preterm birth rates, 2007-2019
Khan SS , Vaughan AS , Harrington K , Seegmiller L , Huang X , Pool LR , Davis MM , Allen NB , Capewell S , O'Flaherty M , Miller GE , Mehran R , Vogel B , Kershaw KN , Lloyd-Jones DM , Grobman WA . JAMA Netw Open 2023 6 (12) e2346864 IMPORTANCE: Preterm birth is a leading cause of preventable neonatal morbidity and mortality. Preterm birth rates at the national level may mask important geographic variation in rates and trends at the county level. OBJECTIVE: To estimate age-standardized preterm birth rates by US county from 2007 to 2019. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This serial cross-sectional study used data from the National Center for Health Statistics composed of all live births in the US between 2007 and 2019. Data analyses were performed between March 22, 2022, and September 29, 2022. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Age-standardized preterm birth (<37 weeks' gestation) and secondarily early preterm birth (<34 weeks' gestation) rates by county and year calculated with a validated small area estimation model (hierarchical bayesian spatiotemporal model) and percent change in preterm birth rates using log-linear regression models. RESULTS: Between 2007 and 2019, there were 51 044 482 live births in 2383 counties. In 2007, the national age-standardized preterm birth rate was 12.6 (95% CI, 12.6-12.7) per 100 live births. Preterm birth rates varied significantly among counties, with an absolute difference between the 90th and 10th percentile counties of 6.4 (95% CI, 6.2-6.7). The gap between the highest and lowest counties for preterm births was 20.7 per 100 live births in 2007. Several counties in the Southeast consistently had the highest preterm birth rates compared with counties in California and New England, which had the lowest preterm birth rates. Although there was no statistically significant change in preterm birth rates between 2007 and 2019 at the national level (percent change, -5.0%; 95% CI, -10.7% to 0.9%), increases occurred in 15.4% (95% CI, 14.1%-16.9%) of counties. The absolute and relative geographic inequalities were similar across all maternal age groups. Higher quartile of the Social Vulnerability Index was associated with higher preterm birth rates (quartile 4 vs quartile 1 risk ratio, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.31-1.36), which persisted across the study period. Similar patterns were observed for early preterm birth rates. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this serial cross-sectional study of county-level preterm and early preterm birth rates, substantial geographic disparities were observed, which were associated with place-based social disadvantage. Stability in aggregated rates of preterm birth at the national level masked increases in nearly 1 in 6 counties between 2007 and 2019. |
Trends in cardiovascular disease mortality rates and excess deaths, 2010-2022
Woodruff RC , Tong X , Khan SS , Shah NS , Jackson SL , Loustalot F , Vaughan AS . Am J Prev Med 2023 INTRODUCTION: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality increased during the initial years of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, but whether these trends endured in 2022 is unknown. The analysis describes temporal trends in CVD death rates from 2010 to 2022 and estimates excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022. METHODS: Using national mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System, deaths among adults aged ≥35 years were classified by underlying cause of death International Classification of Diseases 10(th) Revision codes for CVD (I00-I99), heart disease (I00-I09, I11, I13, I20-I51), and stroke (I60-I69). Analyses in Joinpoint software identified trends in CVD age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 and estimated the number of excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022. RESULTS: During 2010-2022, 10,951,403 CVD deaths occurred (75.6% heart disease, 16.9% stroke). The national CVD AAMR declined by 8.9% from 2010 to 2019 (456.6 to 416.0 per 100,000) and then increased by 9.3% from 2019 to 2022 to 454.5 per 100,000, which approximated the 2010 rate (456.7 per 100,000). From 2020 to 2022, 228,524 excess CVD deaths occurred, which was 9.0% more CVD deaths than expected based on trends from 2010 to 2019. Results varied by CVD subtype and population subgroup. CONCLUSIONS: Despite stabilization of the public health emergency, declines in CVD mortality rates reversed in 2020 and remained high in 2022, representing almost a decade of lost progress and over 228,000 excess CVD deaths. Findings underscore the importance of prioritizing prevention and management of CVD to improve outcomes. |
Relationship of personal, situational, and environmental factors to injury experience in commercial fishing
Kincl L , Syron L , Lucas D , Vaughan A , Bovbjerg V . J Safety Res 2023 87 375-381 Introduction: Commercial fishing work involves a variety of activities and is hazardous. While much is understood to mitigate fatalities in this industry, research must further explore nonfatal injury characteristics, factors related to injury, and potential injury prevention strategies. This paper determines if fishing experience is associated with injury risk and explores common work activities associated with injury. Method: Key informant interviews and a survey of fishermen were conducted to refine work activity codes and collect injury experiences. Independent sample t-tests compared the means of the years fishing by injury incident for all crab fishermen then stratified by position. Descriptive statistics explored the nature of injury in relation to work activity. Results: The level of experience was significantly lower for injured fishermen compared to fishermen who reported no injuries, but when stratified by position at the time of the injury, the association of injury to experience was only significant for owners. This stratified result demonstrates that the work activity, rather than experience, drives the apparent relationship of experience to injury. Being tired (24%) and weather (26%) were indicated as contributing factors at the time of injury. Conclusion: Modifying the work environment to better control hazards would benefit all fishermen, regardless of their experience, age, or position. Further work into effective interventions that fishermen would adopt is needed to reduce injury risk. Any formal or informal training of new fishermen should focus on the most hazardous activities, but more experienced fishermen would also benefit. Additionally, effective training or interventions for fatigue management, and decision support tools for weather- and navigation-related decisions would further reduce risk of at sea injuries. Practical Applications: Injury prevention training, for all fishermen, regardless of their position and years of experience, should cover the most hazardous tasks, fatigue risk management strategies, and weather decisions. |
Sporozoite immunization: Innovative Translational Science to Support the Fight against malaria
Richie TL , Church LWP , Murshedkar T , Billingsley PF , James ER , Chen MC , Abebe Y , Natasha Kc , Chakravarty S , Dolberg D , Healy SA , Diawara H , Sissoko MS , Sagara I , Cook DM , Epstein JE , Mordmüller B , Kapulu M , Kreidenweiss A , Franke-Fayard B , Agnandji ST , López Mikue MA , McCall MBB , Steinhardt L , Oneko M , Olotu A , Vaughan AM , Kublin JG , Murphy SC , Jongo S , Tanner M , Sirima SB , Laurens MB , Daubenberger C , Silva JC , Lyke KE , Janse CJ , Roestenberg M , Sauerwein RW , Abdulla S , Dicko A , Kappe SHI , Sim BKL , Duffy PE , Kremsner PG , Hoffman SL . Expert Rev Vaccines 2023 22 (1) 964-1007 INTRODUCTION: Malaria, a devastating febrile illness caused by protozoan parasites, sickened 247,000,000 people in 2021 and killed 619,000, mostly children and pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa. A highly effective vaccine is urgently needed, especially for Plasmodium falciparum (Pf), the deadliest human malaria parasite. AREAS COVERED: Sporozoites (SPZ), the parasite stage transmitted by Anopheles mosquitoes to humans, are the only vaccine immunogen achieving > 90% efficacy against Pf infection. This review describes > 30 clinical trials of PfSPZ vaccines in the U.S.A., Europe, Africa, and Asia, based on first-hand knowledge of the trials and PubMed searches of 'sporozoites,' 'malaria,' and 'vaccines.' EXPERT OPINION: First generation (radiation-attenuated) PfSPZ vaccines are safe, well tolerated, 80-100% efficacious against homologous controlled human malaria infection (CHMI) and provide 18-19 months protection without boosting in Africa. Second generation chemo-attenuated PfSPZ are more potent, 100% efficacious against stringent heterologous (variant strain) CHMI, but require a co-administered drug, raising safety concerns. Third generation, late liver stage-arresting, replication competent (LARC), genetically-attenuated PfSPZ are expected to be both safe and highly efficacious. Overall, PfSPZ vaccines meet safety, tolerability, and efficacy requirements for protecting pregnant women and travelers, with licensure for these populations possible within five years. Protecting children and mass vaccination programs to block transmission and eliminate malaria are long-term objectives. |
A mixed-methods approach for evaluating implementation processes and program costs for a hypertension management program implemented in a federally qualified health center
Tucker-Brown A , Spafford M , Wittenborn J , Rein D , Marshall A , Beasley KL , Vaughan M , Nelson N , Dougherty M , Ahn R . Prev Sci 2023 Team-based care approaches are effective at improving hypertension control and have been used in clinical practice to improve hypertension outcomes. This study implemented and evaluated the Hypertension Management Program (HMP), which was originally developed in a high-resource health setting, in a health system with fewer resources and a patient population disproportionately affected by hypertension. Our objectives were to describe how a health system could adapt HMP to meet their needs and calculate total program costs. HMP uses a team-based, patient-centered approach involving clinical pharmacists who contribute to managing patients who have hypertension and ultimately preventing premature death due to uncontrolled hypertension. HMP has 10 components (e.g., EHR patient registries and outreach lists, no copayment walk-in blood pressure checks). Our project involved implementing the key components of HMP in a federally qualified health center (FQHC) in South Carolina. Adaptations from the key components of HMP were made to fit the participants' settings. A mixed-methods evaluation assessed implementation processes, program costs, and implementation facilitators and barriers. From September 2018 to December 2019, clinical pharmacists conducted 758 hypertension management visits (HMVs) with 316 patients with hypertension. Total program costs for HMP were $325,532 overall and $16,277 per month. Monthly cost per patient was $3.62. The high engagement among clinical pharmacists, along with provider engagements, followed up by the subsequent referral of patients to HMP, facilitated the implementation process. Staff members observed improvements in hypertension control, which increased participation buy-in. Barriers included staff turnover, the perception among some providers that HMP took too much time, as well as perception of HMP as a pharmacy-specific initiative. A team-based, patient-centered approach to hypertension management can be adapted for FQHCs or similar settings that serve patient populations disproportionately affected by hypertension. |
Commercial fishing fatalities and injuries described by linked vessel incidents
Kincl L , Doza S , Nahorniak J , Case S , Vaughan A , Bovbjerg V . J Agromedicine 2023 28 (4) 1-9 OBJECTIVES: The Risk Information System for Commercial Fishing (RISC Fishing) merged information on fishermen and vessel incident types from various databases. This descriptive study examined linked fisherman injury records (fatal and nonfatal) and vessel incident records in Oregon and Washington from 2000 to 2018 in the RISC Fishing database. The circumstances of incidents and any association with fishermen outcomes were explored to identify injury prevention opportunities. METHODS: The statistical analyses included a descriptive study of incidents related to the injury characteristics and frequency of outcomes by incident type. Further analyses included contingency tables and Pearson Chi-Square tests for selected variables to determine if there were associations between vessel incident outcomes (fatality, nonfatal injury, no injury). RESULTS: A total of 375 reported incidents with 93 cases of fatalities, 239 nonfatal injuries, and over 6,575 fishermen with no injury were described. Of fatalities, 90% were due to drowning, with only 2% of victims reported donning survival equipment. Deckhands experienced fatal and nonfatal injuries most frequently. The most common factors associated with nonfatal injuries included contact with objects (event), walking on vessel and hauling gear (work activities), and fractures and open wounds (nature). The most common final event leading to a vessel disaster with no injury being reported was sinking (76%). Distributions between the incident outcomes (fatality, nonfatal injury, and no injury) differed by vessel activity/type, fishery/gear, and event leading to the incident. CONCLUSION: Linked information of fishermen injury outcomes and vessel incident information showed that events and settings that involve fatalities are qualitatively different from incidents resulting in only nonfatal injuries or uninjured survivors. Vessel-level approaches for mitigating fatalities, such as ensuring vessel stability, improving navigation/operation decisions, and spotlighting survival equipment policies/rescue priorities could have a significant impact. Work task-specific prevention strategies for nonfatal injuries related to the larger vessels (catcher/processors and processors) and smaller vessels (with pot/trap gears) are paramount. The use of linked information provided in reports can provide a fuller incident picture to advance efforts to improve the working conditions of commercial fishermen. |
Timing of outpatient postpartum care utilization among women with chronic hypertension and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy
Aqua JK , Ford ND , Pollack LM , Lee JS , Kuklina EV , Hayes DK , Vaughan AS , Coronado F . Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM 2023 5 (9) 101051 BACKGROUND: The postpartum period represents an opportunity to assess the cardiovascular health of women who experience chronic hypertension or hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether women with chronic hypertension or hypertensive disorders of pregnancy access outpatient postpartum care more quickly compared to women with no hypertension. STUDY DESIGN: We used data from the Merative MarketScan® Commercial Claims and Encounters Database. We included 275,937 commercially insured women aged 12-55 years who had a live birth or stillbirth delivery hospitalization between 2017-2018 and continuous insurance enrollment from 3 months before the estimated start of pregnancy to 6 months after delivery discharge. Using International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision Clinical Modification codes, we identified hypertensive disorders of pregnancy from inpatient or outpatient claims from 20 weeks gestation through delivery hospitalization and identified chronic hypertension from inpatient or outpatient claims from the beginning of the continuous enrollment period through delivery hospitalization. Distributions of time-to-event survival curves (time-to-first outpatient postpartum visit with a women's health, primary care, or cardiology provider) were compared between the hypertension types using Kaplan-Meier estimators and log rank tests. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Time points of interest (3, 6, and 12 weeks) were evaluated per clinical postpartum care guidelines. RESULTS: Among commercially insured women, the prevalences of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, chronic hypertension, and no documented hypertension were 11.7%, 3.4%, and 84.8%, respectively. The proportions of women with a visit within 3 weeks of delivery discharge were 28.5%, 26.4%, and 16.0% for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, chronic, and no documented hypertension, respectively. By 12 weeks, the proportions increased to 62.4%, 64.5%, and 54.2%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier analyses indicated significant differences in utilization by hypertension type and interaction between hypertension type and time before and after 6 weeks. In adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, the utilization rate before 6 weeks among women with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy was 1.42 times the rate for women with no documented hypertension [aHR=1.42, 95% CI (1.39-1.45)]. Women with chronic hypertension also had higher utilization rates compared to women with no documented hypertension before 6 weeks [aHR=1.28, 95% CI: (1.24-1.33)]. Only chronic hypertension was significantly associated with utilization compared to the no documented hypertension group after 6 weeks [aHR=1.09, 95% CI: (1.03-1.14)]. CONCLUSIONS: In the 6 weeks following delivery discharge, women with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and chronic hypertension attended outpatient postpartum care visits sooner than women with no documented hypertension. However, after 6 weeks this difference extended only to women with chronic hypertension. Overall, postpartum care utilization remained around 50-60% by 12 weeks in all groups. Addressing barriers to postpartum care attendance can ensure timely care for women at high risk for cardiovascular disease. |
Utilizing Haddon matrix to assess nonfatal commercial fishing injury factors in Oregon and Washington
Doza S , Bovbjerg V , Case S , Vaughan A , Kincl L . Inj Epidemiol 2023 10 (1) 18 BACKGROUND: Commercial fishing is a precarious industry with high fatal and nonfatal injury rates. The Risk Information System of Commercial [RISC] Fishing project at Oregon State University has been tracking both fatal and nonfatal injuries among Oregon and Washington commercial fishermen. We examined the utility of the RISC dataset variables in highlighting injury factors and prevention opportunities. METHOD: We identified 245 nonfatal commercial fishing injuries in Oregon and Washington (2000-2018) and assessed the top three injury events (contact with objects or equipment, transportation incidents, and slips/trips/falls) using a cross-sectional design. We generated a Haddon matrix for each event type and populated the matrices with injury-associated factors following our a-priori matrix. RESULTS: We observed 108 nonfatal injuries due to contact with objects. Contact injuries occurred during fishing (40%) with fishing gears (40%), often while hauling the fishing gear (22%). Common injury mechanisms included getting caught in running equipment or machinery (19%) or compressed by shifting objects or equipment (18%). Of the 58 transportation injuries most occurred in catchers (93%) and smaller vessels (1 to 3 crew) (55%). Vessel casualties were common as several vessels struck rocks/bottom (29%) or experienced fire and explosion (19%). The crew was abandoned to water (38%), often due to no raft or raft malfunctions (19%). Slip/trip/fall injuries (n = 43) typically happened during onboard traffic (49%). Such events were largely experienced by the catcher-processors (44%) including large vessels with > 100 crew (28%). CONCLUSION: The Haddon matrix demonstrated the injury-event timeline and helped to identify potential injury-associated factors. Our injury-specific risk matrices will let commercial fishing stakeholders determine priorities and work with the experts on prevention efforts. |
Dengue outbreak among travellers returning from Cuba-GeoSentinel Surveillance Network, January-September 2022
Díaz-Menéndez M , Angelo KM , de Miguel Buckley R , Bottieau E , Huits R , Grobusch MP , Gobbi FG , Asgeirsson H , Duvignaud A , Norman FF , Javelle E , Epelboin L , Rothe C , Chappuis F , Martinez GE , Popescu C , Camprubí-Ferrer D , Molina I , Odolini S , Barkati S , Kuhn S , Vaughan S , McCarthy A , Lago M , Libman MD , Hamer DH . J Travel Med 2023 30 (2) Increasing numbers of travellers returning from Cuba with dengue virus infection were reported to the GeoSentinel Network from June to September 2022, reflecting an ongoing local outbreak. This report demonstrates the importance of travellers as sentinels of arboviral outbreaks and highlights the need for early identification of travel-related dengue. |
Differences in geographic patterns of absolute and relative black-white disparities in stroke mortality in the United States
Flynn A , Vaughan AS , Casper M . Prev Chronic Dis 2022 19 E63 In the US, racial disparities in stroke death rates are particularly large among working age adults, for whom the stroke death rate in 2019 among non-Hispanic Black adults aged 35 to 64 years was 2.4 times that of their non-Hispanic White counterparts (1,2). These national disparities occur in the context of marked local variation in stroke death rates among both Black and White populations. Within the Stroke Belt (a band of southern US states with high stroke mortality), stroke death rates for both Black and White populations are persistently high (3). However, county-level racial disparities in stroke death rates have not been documented. These data are critical to addressing racial inequities in stroke mortality by shaping public health agendas, engaging communities, and guiding prioritization and development of programs, interventions, and policies (2,4). Therefore, we calculated race-specific stroke death rates in 2019 for adults aged 35 to 64 years and mapped the geographic variation of the largest absolute and relative BlackWhite disparities in stroke death rates (Map A) and of the highest stroke death rates for Black populations and White populations (Map B). |
A dynamic visualization tool of local trends in heart disease and stroke mortality in the United States
Le P , Casper M , Vaughan AS . Prev Chronic Dis 2022 19 E57 Efforts in the US to prevent and treat cardiovascular disease (CVD) contributed to large decreases in death rates for decades; however, in the last decade, progress has stalled, and in many counties, CVD death rates have increased. Because of these increases, there is heightened urgency to disseminate high-quality data on the temporal trends in CVD mortality. The Local Trends in Heart Disease and Stroke Mortality Dashboard is an online, interactive visualization of US county-level death rates and trends for several CVD outcomes across stratifications of age, race and ethnicity, and sex. This powerful visualization tool generates national maps of death rates and trends, state maps of death rates and trends, county-level line plots of annual death rates, and bar charts of percentage changes. County-level death rates and trends were estimated by applying a Bayesian spatiotemporal model to data obtained from the National Vital Statistics System of the National Center for Health Statistics and US Census bridged-race intercensal estimates for the years 1999 through 2019. The Local Trends in Heart Disease and Stroke Mortality Dashboard makes it easy for public health practitioners, health care providers, and community leaders to monitor county-level spatiotemporal trends in CVD mortality by age group, race and ethnicity, and sex and provides key information for identifying and addressing local health inequities in CVD mortality trends. |
The where of when: Geographic variation in the timing of recent increases in US county-level heart disease death rates
Vaughan AS , Flynn A , Casper M . Ann Epidemiol 2022 72 18-24 PURPOSE: Within the context of local increases in US heart disease death rates, we estimated when increasing heart disease death rates began by county among adults aged 35-64 years and characterized geographic variation. METHODS: We applied Bayesian spatiotemporal models to vital statistics data to estimate the timing (i.e., the year) of increasing county-level heart disease death rates during 1999-2019 among adults aged 35-64 years. To examine geographic variation, we stratified results by US Census region and urban-rural classification. RESULTS: The onset of increasing heart disease death rates among adults aged 35-64 years spanned the two-decade study period from 1999 through 2019. Overall, 43.5% (95% CI: 41.3, 45.6) of counties began increasing before 2011, with early increases more prevalent outside of the most urban counties and outside of the Northeast. Roughly one-in-five (18.4% [95% CI: 15.6, 20.7]) counties continued to decline throughout the study period. CONCLUSIONS: This variation suggests that factors associated with these geographic classifications may be critical in establishing the timing of changing trends in heart disease death rates. These results reinforce the importance of spatiotemporal surveillance in the early identification of adverse trends and in informing opportunities for tailored policies and programs. |
County-level trends in hypertension-related cardiovascular disease mortality-United States, 2000 to 2019
Vaughan AS , Coronado F , Casper M , Loustalot F , Wright JS . J Am Heart Assoc 2022 11 (7) e024785 Background Amid stagnating declines in national cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality, documenting trends in county-level hypertension-related CVD death rates can help activate local efforts prioritizing hypertension prevention, detection, and control. Methods and Results Using death certificate data from the National Vital Statistics System, Bayesian spatiotemporal models were used to estimate county-level hypertension-related CVD death rates and corresponding trends during 2000 to 2010 and 2010 to 2019 for adults aged 35 years overall and by age group, race or ethnicity, and sex. Among adults aged 35 to 64years, county-level hypertension-related CVD death rates increased from a median of 23.2 per 100000 in 2000 to 43.4 per 100000 in 2019. Among adults aged 65years, county-level hypertension-related CVD death rates increased from a median of 362.1 per 100000 in 2000 to 430.1 per 100000 in 2019. Increases were larger and more prevalent among adults aged 35 to 64years than those aged 65years. More than 75% of counties experienced increasing hypertension-related CVD death rates among patients aged 35 to 64years during 2000 to 2010 and 2010 to 2019 (76.2% [95% credible interval, 74.7-78.4] and 86.2% [95% credible interval, 84.6-87.6], respectively), compared with 48.2% (95% credible interval, 47.0-49.7) during 2000 to 2010 and 66.1% (95% credible interval, 64.9-67.1) for patients aged 65years. The highest rates for both age groups were among men and Black populations. All racial and ethnic categories in both age groups experienced widespread county-level increases. Conclusions Large, widespread county-level increases in hypertension-related CVD mortality sound an alarm for intensified clinical and public health actions to improve hypertension prevention, detection, and control and prevent subsequent CVD deaths in counties across the nation. |
Acute gastroenteritis on cruise ships - Maritime Illness Database and Reporting System, United States, 2006-2019
Jenkins KA , Vaughan GHJr , Rodriguez LO , Freeland A . MMWR Surveill Summ 2021 70 (6) 1-19 PROBLEM/CONDITION: Gastrointestinal illness is common worldwide and can be transmitted by an infected person or contaminated food, water, or environmental surfaces. Outbreaks of gastrointestinal illness commonly occur in crowded living accommodations or communities where persons are physically close. Pathogens that cause gastrointestinal illness outbreaks can spread quickly in closed and semienclosed environments, such as cruise ships. CDC's Vessel Sanitation Program (VSP) is responsible for conducting public health inspections and monitoring acute gastroenteritis (AGE) illness on cruise ships entering the United States after visiting a foreign port. PERIOD COVERED: 2006-2019. DESCRIPTION OF SYSTEM: VSP maintains the Maritime Illness Database and Reporting System (MIDRS) for monitoring cases of AGE illness among passengers and crew sailing on cruise ships carrying ≥13 passengers and within 15 days of arrival at U.S. ports from foreign ports of call. Cruise ships under VSP jurisdiction are required to submit a standardized report (24-hour report) of AGE case counts for passengers and crew 24-36 hours before arrival at the first U.S. port after traveling internationally. If the cumulative number of AGE cases increases after submission of the 24-hour report, an updated report must be submitted no less than 4 hours before the ship arrives at the U.S. port. A special report is submitted to MIDRS when vessels are within 15 days of arrival at a U.S. port and cumulative case counts reach 2% of the passenger or crew population during a voyage. VSP declares an outbreak when 3% or more of the passengers or crew on a voyage report AGE symptom to the ship's medical staff. RESULTS: During 2006-2019, a total of 37,276 voyage reports from 252 cruise ships were submitted to MIDRS. Of the 252 cruise ships, 80.6% were extra large in size (60,001-120,000 gross registered tons [GRT]), 37.0% and 32.9% had voyages lasting 3-5 days and 8-10 days, respectively, and 53.2% were traveling to a port in the Southeast region of the United States at the time the final MIDRS report was submitted. During 2006-2019, VSP received 18,040 (48.4%) 24-hour routine reports, 18,606 (49.9%) 4-hour update reports, and 612 (1.6%) special reports (2% and 3% AGE reports). Incidence rates decreased from 32.5 cases per 100,000 travel days to 16.9 for passengers and from 13.5 to 5.2 for crew. Among passengers, AGE incidence rates increased with increasing ship size and voyage length. For crew members, rates were significantly higher on extra-large ships (19.8 per 100,000 travel-days) compared with small and large ships and on voyages lasting 6-7 days. Geographically, passenger incidence rates were highest among ships underway to ports in California, Alaska, Texas, New York, Florida, and Louisiana. Among passengers, AGE incidence rates were significantly higher on ships anchoring in California (32.1 per 100,000 travel-days [95% confidence interval (CI) = 31.7-32.4]); among crew, they were significantly higher in the South region of the United States (25.9 [CI = 25.1-26.7]). INTERPRETATION: This report is the first detailed summary of surveillance data from MIDRS during 2006-2019. AGE incidence rates decreased during this time. Incidence rates among passengers were higher on mega and super-mega ships and voyages lasting >7 days. AGE incidence among crew was higher on extra-large ships and voyages lasting 6-7 days. Ship size and voyage length are associated with AGE incidence rates, and more targeted effort is needed to prevent disproportionate AGE incidence rates among passengers and crew sailing in high-risk situations. PUBLIC HEALTH ACTIONS: Maritime AGE surveillance provides important information about the epidemiology of gastrointestinal illness among cruise ship populations traveling in U.S. jurisdictions. AGE illness is highly contagious and can be transmitted quickly within vessels. State and local public health departments in the United States can use data in this report to better inform the traveling public about the risk for AGE and the importance of their role in minimizing the risk for illness while traveling onboard cruise ships. Key elements for reducing exposure to AGE illness, limiting the spread of illness, and preventing AGE outbreaks are proper hand hygiene practices and prompt isolation of symptomatic persons. Passengers can work in collaboration with cruise lines to promote onboard public health by frequently washing their hands, promptly reporting AGE illness symptoms, and isolating themselves from other persons immediately after illness onset. Access to and proper use of handwashing stations can reduce the risk for illness transmission aboard cruise ships. |
Changes in mood and health-related quality of life in Look AHEAD 6 years after termination of the lifestyle intervention
Wadden TA , Chao AM , Anderson H , Annis K , Atkinson K , Bolin P , Brantley P , Clark JM , Coday M , Dutton G , Foreyt JP , WGregg E , Hazuda HP , Hill JO , Hubbard VS , Jakicic JM , Jeffery RW , Johnson KC , Kahn SE , Knowler WC , Korytkowski M , Lewis CE , Laferrère B , Middelbeek RJ , Munshi MN , Nathan DM , Neiberg RH , Pilla SJ , Peters A , Pi-Sunyer X , Rejeski JW , Redmon B , Stewart T , Vaughan E , Wagenknecht LE , Walkup MP , Wing RR , Wyatt H , Yanovski SZ , Zhang P . Obesity (Silver Spring) 2021 29 (8) 1294-1308 OBJECTIVE: The Action for Health in Diabetes (Look AHEAD) study previously reported that intensive lifestyle intervention (ILI) reduced incident depressive symptoms and improved health-related quality of life (HRQOL) over nearly 10 years of intervention compared with a control group (the diabetes support and education group [DSE]) in participants with type 2 diabetes and overweight or obesity. The present study compared incident depressive symptoms and changes in HRQOL in these groups for an additional 6 years following termination of the ILI in September 2012. METHODS: A total of 1,945 ILI participants and 1,900 DSE participants completed at least one of four planned postintervention assessments at which weight, mood (via the Patient Health Questionnaire-9), antidepressant medication use, and HRQOL (via the Medical Outcomes Scale, Short Form-36) were measured. RESULTS: ILI participants and DSE participants lost 3.1 (0.3) and 3.8 (0.3) kg [represented as mean (SE); p = 0.10], respectively, during the 6-year postintervention follow-up. No significant differences were observed between groups during this time in incident mild or greater symptoms of depression, antidepressant medication use, or in changes on the physical component summary or mental component summary scores of the Short Form-36. In both groups, mental component summary scores were higher than physical component summary scores. CONCLUSIONS: Prior participation in the ILI, compared with the DSE group, did not appear to improve subsequent mood or HRQOL during 6 years of postintervention follow-up. |
Health-Related Exposures and Conditions among US Fishermen
Doza S , Bovbjerg VE , Vaughan A , Nahorniak JS , Case S , Kincl LD . J Agromedicine 2021 27 (3) 1-8 Commercial fishing is a high-risk occupation, yet there is a lack of surveillance documenting health conditions, health behaviors, and health care coverage among US fishermen. We used publicly available data sources to identify exposures and health outcomes common among fishermen. We utilized the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health-Worker Health Charts to estimate the prevalence of general exposures, psychosocial exposures, health behaviors, and health conditions from the national surveys National Health Interview Survey - Occupational Health Supplement (NHIS-OHS, 2015) and Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) (2013-2015). We compared fishing workers with both agricultural workers and all-workers. Fishermen commonly reported general exposures, psychosocial exposures, non-standard work arrangements, frequent night shifts, and shift work. The prevalence of musculoskeletal conditions such as carpal tunnel syndrome (33%) and severe low-back pain (27%) was also high. Smoking (45%) and second-hand smoke exposure (25%) were widespread, and 21% reported no health care coverage. National household surveys such as NHIS-OHS, and BRFSS can be utilized to describe the health status of fishermen. This workforce would benefit from increased access to health care and health promotion programs. More comprehensive evaluations of existing data can help to identify occupation-specific health challenges. |
Unequal Local Progress Towards Healthy People 2020 Objectives for Stroke and Coronary Heart Disease Mortality
Woodruff RC , Casper M , Loustalot F , Vaughan AS . Stroke 2021 52 (6) Strokeaha121034100 BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Healthy People establishes objectives to monitor the nation's health. Healthy People 2020 included objectives to reduce national stroke and coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality by 20% (to 34.8 and 103.4 deaths per 100 000, respectively). Documenting the proportion and geographic distribution of counties meeting neither the Healthy People 2020 target nor an equivalent proportional reduction can help identify high-priority geographic areas for future intervention. METHODS: County-level mortality data for stroke (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes I60-I69) and CHD (I20-I25) and bridged-race population estimates were used. Bayesian spatiotemporal models estimated age-standardized county-level death rates in 2007 and 2017 which were used to calculate and map the proportion and 95% credible interval of counties achieving neither the national Healthy People 2020 target nor a 20% reduction in mortality. RESULTS: In 2017, 45.8% of counties (credible interval, 42.9-48.3) met neither metric for stroke mortality. These counties had a median stroke death rate of 42.2 deaths per 100 000 in 2017, representing a median 12.8% decline. For CHD mortality, 26.1% (credible interval, 25.0-27.8) of counties met neither metric. These counties had a median CHD death rate of 127.1 deaths per 100 000 in 2017, representing a 10.2% decline. For both outcomes, counties achieving neither metric were not limited to counties with traditionally high stroke and CHD death rates. CONCLUSIONS: Recent declines in stroke and CHD mortality have not been equal across US counties. Focusing solely on high mortality counties may miss opportunities in the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease and in learning more about factors leading to successful reductions in mortality. |
County-level variation in hepatitis C virus mortality and trends in the United States, 2005-2017
Hall EW , Schillie S , Vaughan AS , Jones J , Bradley H , Lopman B , Rosenberg E , Sullivan P . Hepatology 2021 74 (2) 582-590 Since 2013, the national HCV death rate has steadily declined, but this decline has not been quantified or described on a local level. We estimated county-level HCV death rates and assessed trends in HCV mortality from 2005 to 2013 and 2013 to 2017. We used mortality data from National Vital Statistics Systems and a Bayesian multivariate space-time conditional autoregressive model to estimate age-standardized HCV death rates from 2005 through 2017 for 3115 U.S. counties. Additionally, we estimated county-level age-standardized rates for persons <40 and 40+ years of age. We used log-linear regression models to estimate average annual percent change in HCV mortality during periods of interest and compared county-level trends to national trends. Nationally, the age-adjusted HCV death rate peaked in 2013 at 5.20 HCV deaths per 100,000 (95% credible interval, CI: 5.12, 5.26) before decreasing to 4.34 per 100,000 persons (95% CI: 4.28, 4.41) in 2017 (average annual percent change -4.69, 95%CI: -5.01, -4.33). County-level rates revealed heterogeneity in HCV mortality (2017 median rate=3.66, interdecile range: 2.19, 6.77), with the highest rates concentrated in the West, Southwest, Appalachia and northern Florida. Between 2013 and 2017, HCV mortality decreased in 80.0% (n=2274) of all U.S. counties with a reliable trend estimate, with 25.8% (n=803) of all counties experiencing a decrease larger than the national decline. Conclusion: Although many counties have experienced a shift in HCV mortality trends since 2013, the magnitude and composition of that shift have varied by place. These data provide a better understanding of geographic differences in HCV mortality and can be used by local jurisdictions to evaluate HCV mortality in their areas relative to surrounding areas and the nation. |
Changing spatiotemporal trends in county-level heart failure death rates in the United States, 1999 to 2018
Vaughan AS , George MG , Jackson SL , Schieb L , Casper M . J Am Heart Assoc 2021 10 (4) e018125 Background Amid recently rising heart failure (HF) death rates in the United States, we describe county-level trends in HF mortality from 1999 to 2018 by racial/ethnic group and sex for ages 35 to 64 years and 65 years and older. Methods and Results Applying a hierarchical Bayesian model to National Vital Statistics data representing all US deaths, ages 35 years and older, we estimated annual age-standardized county-level HF death rates and percent change by age group, racial/ethnic group, and sex from 1999 through 2018. During 1999 to 2011, ~30% of counties experienced increasing HF death rates among adults ages 35 to 64 years. However, during 2011 to 2018, 86.9% (95% CI, 85.2-88.2) of counties experienced increasing mortality. Likewise, for ages 65 years and older, during 1999 to 2005 and 2005 to 2011, 27.8% (95% CI, 25.8-29.8) and 12.6% (95% CI, 11.2-13.9) of counties, respectively, experienced increasing mortality. However, during 2011 to 2018, most counties (67.4% [95% CI, 65.4-69.5]) experienced increasing mortality. These temporal patterns by age group held across racial/ethnic group and sex. Conclusions These results provide local context to previously documented recent national increases in HF death rates. Although county-level declines were most common before 2011, some counties and demographic groups experienced increasing HF death rates during this period of national declines. However, recent county-level increases were pervasive, occurring across counties, racial/ethnic group, and sex, particularly among ages 35 to 64 years. These spatiotemporal patterns highlight the need to identify and address underlying clinical risk factors and social determinants of health contributing to these increasing trends. |
Progress toward achieving national targets for reducing coronary heart disease and stroke mortality: A county-level perspective
Vaughan AS , Woodruff RC , Shay CM , Loustalot F , Casper M . J Am Heart Assoc 2021 10 (4) e019562 Background The American Heart Association and Healthy People 2020 established objectives to reduce coronary heart disease (CHD) and stroke death rates by 20% by the year 2020, with 2007 as the baseline year. We examined county-level achievement of the targeted reduction in CHD and stroke death rates from 2007 to 2017. Methods and Results Applying a hierarchical Bayesian model to National Vital Statistics data, we estimated annual age-standardized county-level death rates and the corresponding percentage change during 2007 to 2017 for those aged 35 to 64 and ≥65 years and by urban-rural classification. For those aged ≥35 years, 56.1% (95% credible interval [CI], 54.1%-57.7%) and 39.8% (95% CI, 36.9%-42.7%) of counties achieved a 20% reduction in CHD and stroke death rates, respectively. For both CHD and stroke, the proportions of counties achieving a 20% reduction were lower for those aged 35 to 64 years than for those aged ≥65 years (CHD: 32.2% [95% CI, 29.4%-35.6%] and 64.1% [95% CI, 62.3%-65.7%]), respectively; stroke: 17.9% [95% CI, 13.9%-22.2%] and 45.6% [95% CI, 42.8%-48.3%]). Counties achieving a 20% reduction in death rates were more commonly urban counties (except stroke death rates for those aged ≥65 years). Conclusions Our analysis found substantial, but uneven, achievement of the targeted 20% reduction in CHD and stroke death rates, defined by the American Heart Association and Healthy People. The large proportion of counties not achieving the targeted reduction suggests a renewed focus on CHD and stroke prevention and treatment, especially among younger adults living outside of urban centers. These county-level patterns provide a foundation for robust responses by clinicians, public health professionals, and communities. |
Primary Indicators to Systematically Monitor COVID-19 Mitigation and Response - Kentucky, May 19-July 15, 2020.
Varela K , Scott B , Prather J , Blau E , Rock P , Vaughan A , Halldin C , Griffing S , Pfeiffer H , Hines J , Dirlikov E , Thoroughman D . MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2020 69 (34) 1173-1176 State and local health departments in the United States are using various indicators to identify differences in rates of reported coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and severe COVID-19 outcomes, including hospitalizations and deaths. To inform mitigation efforts, on May 19, 2020, the Kentucky Department for Public Health (KDPH) implemented a reporting system to monitor five indicators of state-level COVID-19 status to assess the ability to safely reopen: 1) composite syndromic surveillance data, 2) the number of new COVID-19 cases,* 3) the number of COVID-19-associated deaths,(†) 4) health care capacity data, and 5) public health capacity for contact tracing (contact tracing capacity). Using standardized methods, KDPH compiles an indicator monitoring report (IMR) to provide daily analysis of these five indicators, which are combined with publicly available data into a user-friendly composite status that KDPH and local policy makers use to assess state-level COVID-19 hazard status. During May 19-July 15, 2020, Kentucky reported 12,742 COVID-19 cases, and 299 COVID-19-related deaths (1). The mean composite state-level hazard status during May 19-July 15 was 2.5 (fair to moderate). IMR review led to county-level hotspot identification (identification of counties meeting criteria for temporal increases in number of cases and incidence) and facilitated collaboration among KDPH and local authorities on decisions regarding mitigation efforts. Kentucky's IMR might easily be adopted by state and local health departments in other jurisdictions to guide decision-making for COVID-19 mitigation, response, and reopening. |
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